摘 要当前中国宏观经济正由投资拉动向消费拉动经济增长转变，正确认识与评价区域消费状况、合理引导消费、建立与消费结构变化相匹配的产业结构对区域经济增长具有重要意义，延吉更是如此。延吉市不论从消费水平现状还是从消费者行为来讲，都有着鲜明的个性与特点。就消费水平而言，延吉市是本地区公认的高消费城市；就消费者行为而言，延吉市不仅受宏观因素的影响，也受边疆地理因素、少数民族文化及人缘关系等因素的影响，所以不可以简单借鉴其他地区的消费政策或措施，应对延吉居民消费问题进行系统全面的分析和研究。目前对于延吉消费问题，仍缺乏定量的研究工作，因此本文采用历年数据对延吉消费者中的核心群体——城镇居民的消费函数及结构进行计量分析，对延吉市城镇居民消费行为、消费水平、消费模式、消费适当程度，以及收入与消费、价格等因素的关系进行了讨论研究，对存有争议或认识模糊的问题进行了定量评价，并提出相应的对策与建议。全文分6章，第一章，阐述了本文的研究背景与意义，并简单回顾了消费问题（动态和趋势），本文的研究方法、创新与不足；第二章概述了消费理论的起源与发展，包括消费函数的绝对收入、相对收入、生命周期、持久收入、预防性储蓄及几种新的消费假说，消费结构研究中的主要分析方法――线性支出系统及扩展线性支出系统；第三章，定性分析了延吉市城镇居民的消费水平、平均消费倾向、消费模式的变化，分析结果说明延吉市城镇居民具有较高的消费意愿，消费水平与平均消费倾向都较高，长期以来基本属于同步消费模式；第四章，对消费函数的研究中，摆脱了传统的几种消费假说，采用了现在常用且已经相对成熟了的空间向量自回归理论（VAR），建立了延吉市城镇居民消费函数的误差修正模型，数据的协整检验结果说明延吉市城镇居民的可支配收入与消费性支出具有长期稳定关系，具有很高的边际消费倾向，同时误差修正模型显示，收入与消费之间在短期波动偏离长期均衡时，有很强的修正能力，结果也说明延吉市城镇居民的消费近似于绝对收入假定，并具有里兰德预防储蓄假定的部分性质。第五章，采用扩展线性支出系统对延吉市城镇居民的消费结构做了静态和动态定量分析，确定各消费项与收入、价格对各项消费的影响及居民的基本消费，分析表明延吉市城镇居民的最低收入层还不能实现基本消费，居民整体的消费结构变化很快，对文教娱乐的消费明显增加，对提高性的消费品需求较高。第六章对延吉市城镇居民的消费情况做了全面的总结，并提出了相应的对策，分析证明现阶段延吉市城镇居民消费的主要特征不是消费过低，而是居民消费心理不成熟、居民消费的不稳定和不均衡。平滑居民消费并调整消费在各项目上的分配，建立与消费结构相匹配的产业结构使消费能真正促进本地区的经济，使产业结构与消费结构形成互动是当前经济调节和制定经济措施的关键。

Abstract The current Chinese macroscopic economy promotion is drawing from investment to consumption, it is very important to regional economy promotion that correctly understanding and evaluation of regional consumption, reasonably guide consumption, and establish the industrial structure matching the consumption structure changes, especially in Yanji. Yanji city has distinctive personality and character both in the level of consumption and consumer behavior. On the level of consumption, Yanji is recognized high consume city; on consumer behavior, Yanji is not only influenced by macroeconomic factors, but also influenced by geographical borders, ethnic culture and personal relationship, Therefore, we should not simply get the consumer policies or measures from other parts, but analysis and research to Yanji consumer system. Now, for Yanji consumption, there is a lack of quantitative research, the article used historical data to measurement analysis the consumer function and structure of Yanji core consumer groups -city urban resident; discussed and researched to its expense behavior, the consumption level, the expense pattern, the expense suitable degree, as well as the relations between income and expense、price; Carried on the quantitative evaluation to the dispute question, and proposed the corresponding countermeasure and the suggestion. This article qualitative analysis Yanji city urban resident 's consumption level, the average propensity to consume, the expense pattern change, the analysis result showed Yanji city urban resident has the higher expense wish, the consumption level and the average propensity to consume is all higher, since long ago basically belongs to the synchronized expense pattern. In the research to the expends function, got rid of the traditional several kind of expenses hypothesis, used spatial vector from the return theory (VAR) which is the present commonly used also already the relatively mature, established the error correction model of Yanji city urban resident's expense function, the data association entire examination result explained the Yanji city urban resident's controlling income and the expense disbursement has the long-term stable relations, had the very high boundary expense tendency. Simultaneously, the error correction model demonstrated: when short-term undulate and deviate long-term equilibrium between income and expense, it has a very strong revision ability, the result also explained that the Yanji city urban resident's expense is approximate to absolutely receives hypothesis, and has partial nature of Leland prevention deposit hypothesis. Regarding the consumption pattern, this article used the expansion linear disbursement system to make the static state and the dynamic quantitative analysis to the Yanji city urban resident's consumption pattern, determined the influence of respectively expense part, income, and the price to each expense, also urban resident's basic expense, the analysis indicated the Yanji city urban resident's lowest income level could not realize the basic expense, the urban resident whole consumption pattern change very quick, expense in the culture and education entertainment obvious increase, demand was higher to the enhancement consumable. After the full text analysis, the main characteristic that the present Yanji city urban resident expends is not lowly, but is the urban resident expense psychology not mature, the urban resident expends is unstable and imbalanced. The key which current economical adjustment and the formulation economical measure is that Smooth urban resident expense and adjust the expense in various projects, establish the industrial structure matching the consumption structure, enables the expense truly to promote local economy, causes the industrial structure and the consumption pattern forms the interaction.